Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 377.070030 427.653058 483.686911 550.566748 628.483822 716.708281 824.609792
2025-12-07 295.253550 360.059566 438.223869 540.246631 671.069136 834.776997 1057.642612
2025-12-14 251.872693 322.145190 411.826100 536.202693 706.655656 935.647886 1272.720509
2025-12-21 215.027161 285.164591 378.630328 514.523430 710.815237 990.021843 1428.242425
2025-12-28 199.261083 273.199936 375.754088 531.607636 768.266251 1123.960463 1718.547281
2026-01-04 187.771565 265.228871 376.603214 552.824473 833.039143 1276.493972 2063.655382
2026-01-11 173.304325 251.034485 366.275660 555.041543 867.476937 1384.897120 2354.037841
2026-01-18 157.682152 233.350529 348.509520 542.862538 875.977008 1450.174738 2578.574822
2026-01-25 144.555281 218.146062 332.860931 531.882718 884.283913 1515.062760 2812.785077
2026-02-01 138.252617 212.995630 332.514154 546.094729 937.820034 1668.471546 3249.931177
2026-02-08 129.719598 203.425063 323.898423 544.780612 962.567291 1770.731772 3601.362001
2026-02-15 121.356909 193.398011 313.526945 539.021471 977.846090 1856.042905 3932.625885
2026-02-22 115.046141 186.467209 308.097505 542.185360 1011.819545 1986.802467 4403.137965
2026-03-01 107.303017 176.480289 296.463896 532.479603 1018.852104 2062.057809 4759.109109
2026-03-08 101.175200 168.822481 288.296782 528.478893 1036.937985 2164.117221 5207.216712
2026-03-15 93.232962 157.348965 272.217574 507.163527 1015.348411 2172.270324 5407.730600
2026-03-22 91.019929 156.055529 274.912663 523.962193 1079.219632 2391.960666 6254.025852
2026-03-29 89.415009 155.733283 279.371291 544.822412 1155.136249 2655.045083 7306.701416
2026-04-05 85.711929 151.195771 275.267633 547.002085 1187.785490 2814.101198 8086.808647
2026-04-12 80.733800 143.890762 265.135932 535.028208 1184.847744 2878.651662 8578.199336
2026-04-19 76.267224 137.289081 255.932497 524.232671 1183.476767 2947.481228 9106.583636
2026-04-26 74.625999 136.095383 257.617419 538.206033 1246.488567 3209.358361 10414.290879
2026-05-03 71.605108 131.963151 252.905352 536.914026 1269.804755 3360.436314 11361.422938